Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.
What's at stake. Deportivo Garcilaso are 1st on 22 points after 10 games, 2 points clear of Universitario. Sport Huancayo are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, level on points with Alianza Atletico, 1 point clear of Juan Pablo II College. A win would take them above Alianza Atletico.
Form. Deportivo Garcilaso have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Deportivo Garcilaso have gone W L W W W D. Sport Huancayo have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Sport Huancayo have gone W W W W L L.
The numbers. Deportivo Garcilaso score 3.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Deportivo Garcilaso average 16.0 shots (4.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Sport Huancayo score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Sport Huancayo average 30.7 shots (7.3 on target), 9.7 corners and 3.7 cards a game, with 64% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Deportivo Garcilaso have won one, drawn three and lost three. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Deportivo Garcilaso won one, one was drawn and Sport Huancayo won two. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 Sport Huancayo.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Deportivo Garcilaso the likelier winners, but Deportivo Garcilaso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Garcilaso; the meetings favour Sport Huancayo. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Sport Huancayo's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. Deportivo Garcilaso to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Garcilaso the likelier winners; Deportivo Garcilaso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Garcilaso; the meetings favour Sport Huancayo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Deportivo Garcilaso are a clear winner, no Unders); Deportivo Garcilaso or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 Sport Huancayo (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).