IMIM

01:00Tue 6 Oct

Independiente Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagüí, Itagui, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Independiente Medellin are 6th on 20 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Millonarios, 1 point clear of Santa Fe. A win would take them above Millonarios. Independiente Santa Fe are 7th on 19 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Independiente Medellin, level on points with Deportes Tolima. A win would take them above Independiente Medellin.

Form. Independiente Medellin have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition Independiente Medellin have gone D L W D L W. Independiente Santa Fe have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition Independiente Santa Fe have gone W L W W D W.

The numbers. Independiente Medellin score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Medellin average 16.2 shots (6.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Santa Fe average 14.0 shots (5.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Independiente Medellin have won two, drawn four and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Independiente Medellin won one, one was drawn and Independiente Santa Fe won two. The last time they met, on 23 Mar 2026, it finished Independiente Medellin 1-2 Independiente Santa Fe.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Independiente Medellin or Both Teams Score (no result call); Independiente Santa Fe win or both teams score (no result call); Independiente Medellin or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 1-1 Independiente Santa Fe (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

IM 10 of 10 (100%) · IS 9 of 10 (90%)93.6%

Independiente Medellin: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

IM 10 of 10 (100%) · IS 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%

Independiente Medellin: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

IM 9 of 10 (90%) · IS 8 of 10 (80%)75.8%

Independiente Medellin: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

IM 8 of 10 (80%) · IS 7 of 10 (70%)74%

Independiente Medellin: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN GOALS

Independiente Medellin Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

IM 8 of 10 (80%) · IS 7 of 10 (70%)74.1%

Independiente Medellin scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level

INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE GOALS

Independiente Santa Fe Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

IM 8 of 10 (80%) · IS 8 of 10 (80%)74.5%

Independiente Santa Fe scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level

Left off the list: Independiente Medellin or Both Teams Score (no result call); Independiente Santa Fe win or both teams score (no result call); Independiente Medellin or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Independiente Santa Fe or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14%

Independiente Medellin goals →

Independiente Santa Fe goals ↓

0-010%

1-010%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.9%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINWWLWWLDWLD1.70 PPG

INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FEDWDDWDWWLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN HOMExINDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.701.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS20%13%FAILED TO SCORE15%5.40CORNERS A GAME4.753.60CARDS A GAME2.75

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.70POINTS A GAME1.60+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.610LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

NO · 85/90

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINxINDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.07.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 2 · 22%DRAW 4INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE 3 · 33%

7 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-02-11Independiente Medellin 1 – 1 Independiente Santa Fe

2024-10-19Independiente Medellin 1 – 1 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-04-15Independiente Medellin 2 – 1 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-06-25Independiente Medellin 0 – 0 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-06-29Independiente Medellin 1 – 2 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-09-24Independiente Medellin 1 – 2 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-10-02Independiente Medellin 3 – 0 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-10-21Independiente Medellin 1 – 1 Independiente Santa Fe

TRENDS

Independiente Medellin have scored in 80% of their games.

Independiente Santa Fe have scored in 70% of their games.

Independiente Medellin kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Independiente Santa Fe kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards