Match details. The game is in the Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 00:00 Lagos time. It's at Estadio Sierra Nevada in Santa Marta.
What's at stake. Union Magdalena sit 16th with 7 points after 8 games, just 1 point off Barranquilla. A win would lift them above Barranquilla. Real Cartagena FC are 5th on 14 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Patriotas and level with Popayan. A win would bring them level with Patriotas.
Form. Union Magdalena have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five are W L L W L, and in this competition they've gone W L L W L L. Real Cartagena FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game, with a recent run of D L W L W, and in this competition they're D L W L W W.
The numbers. Union Magdalena average 0.6 goals and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. They shoot about 11.7 times per game, 3.7 on target, win 5.8 corners and pick up 4.0 cards a match. Real Cartagena FC score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet, and average 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In their last nine meetings Union Magdalena have won four, drawn two and lost three. Five of those nine went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in four. In the last four games Union Magdalena won one and Real Cartagena FC won three. The most recent clash on 12 May 2026 ended 3-0 to Union Magdalena.
Where it pulls both ways. Both teams' goals for and against suggest a tight affair. Their overall record puts the over 2.5 goal market at 43%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5 goals.
The case against. Union Magdalena's record still only gives them a 25% chance to win.
The read. Real Cartagena FC to win. Their goals for and against make Real Cartagena FC the likelier winners; Real Cartagena FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Cartagena FC; the meetings favour Real Cartagena FC.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Real Cartagena FC at 1.55, 75% on the records (Real Cartagena FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Union Magdalena failed to win 8 of 10). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26 (88%). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Union Magdalena 0-1 Real Cartagena FC (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Real Cartagena FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)75%
Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level
Real Cartagena FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.39
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)73%
Real Cartagena FC scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Union Magdalena trailed or failed to win in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues)
Real Cartagena FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 9 of 10 (90%)72.8%
Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level
Real Cartagena FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.39
UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)70%
Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Real Cartagena FCMAINPAGE ONLY
1.55
UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 8 of 10 (80%)69.1%
Real Cartagena FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Union Magdalena failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level
Real Cartagena FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.89
UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)60.3%
Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
Real Cartagena FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.99
UNI 2 of 5 (40%) · REA 5 of 10 (50%)55.9%
Real Cartagena FC scored first 1 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Union Magdalena trailed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues)
Real Cartagena FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 6 of 10 (60%)49.3%
Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 10 of 10 (100%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)94.4%
Union Magdalena: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
Under 3.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.26
UNI 10 of 10 (100%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%
Union Magdalena: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
UNION MAGDALENA GOALS
Union Magdalena Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.50
UNI 9 of 10 (90%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)71.9%
Union Magdalena scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
Union Magdalena Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
UNI 5 of 10 (50%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)63.7%
Union Magdalena scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
REAL CARTAGENA FC GOALS
Real Cartagena FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.40
UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 7 of 10 (70%)70%
Real Cartagena FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Union Magdalena conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.43
UNI 5 of 10 (50%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)75.8%
Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
UNI 8 of 10 (80%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)71.3%
Union Magdalena: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Cartagena FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Union Magdalena: only games against sides at Real Cartagena FC's level · Real Cartagena FC: only games against sides at Union Magdalena's level
Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (43%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–114.3%
Union Magdalena goals →
Real Cartagena FC goals ↓
0-012%
1-08%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-114%
1-113%
2-15%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-210%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-35%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.5%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-42%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
UNION MAGDALENADDLDLLWLLW0.90 PPG
REAL CARTAGENA FCDWDLWWLWLD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UNION MAGDALENA HOMExREAL CARTAGENA FC AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.701.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%28%FAILED TO SCORE22%5.83CORNERS A GAME4.193.67CARDS A GAME2.34
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
UNION MAGDALENA 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.71POINTS A GAME1.57-0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.43+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7
Real Cartagena FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
34%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UNION MAGDALENA OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
REAL CARTAGENA FC OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UNION MAGDALENAxREAL CARTAGENA FC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
UNION MAGDALENA 4 · 44%DRAW 2REAL CARTAGENA FC 3 · 33%
4 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-04-24Union Magdalena 0 – 0 Real Cartagena FC
2020-03-08Union Magdalena 2 – 0 Real Cartagena FC
2021-02-15Union Magdalena 2 – 1 Real Cartagena FC
2021-08-31Union Magdalena 1 – 0 Real Cartagena FC
2024-03-11Union Magdalena 2 – 2 Real Cartagena FC
2024-08-25Union Magdalena 0 – 2 Real Cartagena FC
2026-03-23Union Magdalena 1 – 2 Real Cartagena FC
2026-05-09Union Magdalena 1 – 2 Real Cartagena FC
TRENDS
Union Magdalena have scored in 50% of their games.
Real Cartagena FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Union Magdalena kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Real Cartagena FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards