THE READ
Match details. UEFA Nations League, League B - 4. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola. The referee is Juan Martinez Munuera.
What's at stake. Ireland are 3rd on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Kosovo, 3 points clear of Israel. A win would take them above Kosovo. Israel are 4th on 1 point after 3 games, 3 points behind Rep. Of Ireland. A win would take them level on points with Rep. Of Ireland.
Form. Ireland have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Israel have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Ireland score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ireland average 8.8 shots (3.7 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Israel score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Israel average 11.4 shots (5.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 27 Sep 2026, it finished Ireland 3-0 Israel: Ireland had 9 shots to 8, 36% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. Ireland to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ireland the likelier winners; Ireland are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ireland. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. Best bet: Ireland 1UP at 1.48, 77% on the records (Ireland scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4; led in 6 of 8). Backup: Over 2.5 Cards at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Israel Under 1.5 goals (Ireland's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ireland 2-1 Israel (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Ireland or DrawIN CODES
1.26
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 3 of 5 (60%)92.8%
Ireland unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Ireland (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
IRL 4 of 7 (57%) · ISR 3 of 5 (60%)91%
Ireland won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Israel lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2
Ireland or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 5 of 5 (100%)86.5%
Ireland: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Ireland or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.21
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 4 of 5 (80%)85.5%
Ireland: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Ireland or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.20
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 6 of 8 (75%)82.2%
Ireland scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Israel trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
1.48
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 6 of 8 (75%)77.2%
Ireland scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Israel trailed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: IrelandHELD · the odds board 53%
1.90
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 6 of 8 (75%)77.2%
Ireland scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Israel trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
1st Half Result or Match Result: IrelandPAGE ONLY
1.60
IRL 3 of 5 (60%) · ISR 3 of 5 (60%)74.2%
Ireland: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Ireland to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.00
IRL 2 of 5 (40%) · ISR 3 of 5 (60%)67.9%
Ireland won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 62% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
1.31
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 5 of 5 (100%)74.3%
Ireland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
IRELAND GOALS
Ireland Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 4 of 5 (80%)86.4%
Ireland scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.27
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
Ireland: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsBACKUPIN CODES
1.11
IRL 4 of 5 (80%) · ISR 2 of 5 (40%)70.6%
Ireland's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Israel's games: over 2.5 cards in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Ireland: only games against sides at Israel's level · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Israel Under 1.5 goals (Ireland's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
TRENDS
Ireland have scored in 80% of their games.
Israel have scored in 60% of their games.
Ireland kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Israel kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.