NMMKD

19:45Sat 3 Oct

SCO

SCO

North Macedonia vs Scotland

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

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SCO

Under 3.5 Goals

North Macedonia v Scotland

International - UEFA… · 19:45

1.24odds

81%book

+3edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. This UEFA Nations League, League B - 3 match kicks off at 19:45 Lagos time on Sat 3 Oct. We are at the Nacional Arena Todor Proeski in Skopje, with Francois Letexier refereeing.

What's at stake. North Macedonia are fourth on zero points after two games, one point behind Scotland. A win would take them above Scotland. Scotland are third on one point after two games, three points behind Slovenia and one point clear of FYR Macedonia. A win would take them level on points with Slovenia.

Form. North Macedonia have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, with 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are L L L L D, and they went L L in this competition. Scotland have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.6 points a game. Their last five are L D L L W, and they went L D here.

The numbers. North Macedonia score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. They average 8.8 shots (2.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.2 cards, with 44% of the ball. Scotland score 1.4 and concede 1.4 over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 10.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards, with 45% of the ball.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 79% on the records (North Macedonia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Scotland: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Scotland or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Scotland (no result call); Scotland (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: North Macedonia 1-1 Scotland (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.24

MKD 4 of 5 (80%) · SCO 7 of 10 (70%)84.5%

North Macedonia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Scotland: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

MKD 3 of 5 (60%) · SCO 4 of 10 (40%)64.2%

North Macedonia: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Scotland: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · each game weighed by who it was against

NORTH MACEDONIA GOALS

North Macedonia Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

MKD 4 of 5 (80%) · SCO 6 of 10 (60%)77.9%

North Macedonia scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Scotland conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCOTLAND GOALS

Scotland Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 82%

1.22

MKD 6 of 10 (60%) · SCO 4 of 5 (80%)56.5%

Scotland scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · North Macedonia conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.14

MKD 5 of 5 (100%) · SCO 10 of 10 (100%)98.4%

North Macedonia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Scotland: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

MKD 4 of 5 (80%) · SCO 9 of 10 (90%)77.1%

North Macedonia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Scotland: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.50

MKD 3 of 5 (60%) · SCO 8 of 10 (80%)71.9%

North Macedonia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Scotland: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.15

MKD 7 of 8 (88%) · SCO 6 of 8 (75%)79.5%

North Macedonia's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Scotland's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Scotland or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Scotland (no result call); Scotland (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Scotland or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Scotland or draw and under 2.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

North Macedonia goals →

Scotland goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NORTH MACEDONIADDWWDDLLLL1.00 PPG

SCOTLANDWWWLWWLLDL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NORTH MACEDONIA HOMExSCOTLAND AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.401.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.382.25CARDS A GAME1.621.27xG1.142.39xG AGAINST2.08

TRENDS

North Macedonia have scored in 60% of their games.

Scotland have scored in 60% of their games.

North Macedonia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Scotland kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards