Match details. Azadegan League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh.
What's at stake. Mes Rafsanjan FC are 11th on 2 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Niroye Zamini, level on points with Novin Ahvaz. A win would take them above Niroye Zamini. Besat Kermanshah are 6th on 4 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Naft Bandar Abbas, 1 point clear of Naft Masjed Soleyman. A win would take them above Naft Bandar Abbas.
Form. Mes Rafsanjan FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. In this competition Mes Rafsanjan FC have gone D D. Besat Kermanshah have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Besat Kermanshah have gone W D L L L L.
The numbers. Mes Rafsanjan FC score 0.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Mes Rafsanjan FC average 1.2 cards a game. Besat Kermanshah score 0.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and six games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.34, 81% on the records (Mes Rafsanjan FC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Besat Kermanshah: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Besat Kermanshah or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Besat Kermanshah (no result call). Predicted score: Mes Rafsanjan FC 0-0 Besat Kermanshah (24% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).