Match details. Azadegan League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Pars Jonoubi Jam are 11th on 2 points after 2 games, level on points with Mes Rafsanjan, level on points with Novin Ahvaz. A win would take them above Mes Rafsanjan. Naft Masjed Soleyman FC are 5th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Naft Bandar Abbas, level on points with Shahin Bandar Ameri. A win would take them above Naft Bandar Abbas.
Form. FC Pars Jonoubi Jam have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition FC Pars Jonoubi Jam have gone D D W W W W. Naft Masjed Soleyman FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition Naft Masjed Soleyman FC have gone L W W L W W.
The numbers. FC Pars Jonoubi Jam score 1.2 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Naft Masjed Soleyman FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Pars Jonoubi Jam have won two, drawn six and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Pars Jonoubi Jam won one, two were drawn and Naft Masjed Soleyman FC won one. The last time they met, on 6 Feb 2025, it finished FC Pars Jonoubi Jam 2-2 Naft Masjed Soleyman FC.
The case against. Naft Masjed Soleyman FC's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. FC Pars Jonoubi Jam to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Pars Jonoubi Jam the likelier winners; FC Pars Jonoubi Jam are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FC Pars Jonoubi Jam or Draw at 1.43, 75% on the records (FC Pars Jonoubi Jam unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Naft Masjed Soleyman FC failed to win 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36 (76%). Predicted score: FC Pars Jonoubi Jam 1-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).