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MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
Piratas Veracruz crestPVPIR
02:00Sun 4 Oct
ALEAlebrijes de Oaxaca FC crestAD

Piratas Veracruz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.

Form. Piratas Veracruz have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D.

The numbers. Piratas Veracruz score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Piratas Veracruz average 6.5 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC average 3.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No firm call: Piratas Veracruz are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Piratas Veracruz the likelier winners; Piratas Veracruz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Piratas Veracruz.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Piratas Veracruz 1-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Piratas Veracruz or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 8 of 10 (80%) · ALE 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 7 of 10 (70%)76.7%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
PIR 4 of 10 (40%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)67.5%
Piratas Veracruz won 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 2 of 5 (40%) · ALE 4 of 10 (40%)53.3%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC trailed in 4 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
PIR 9 of 10 (90%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Piratas Veracruz: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.24
PIR 7 of 10 (70%) · ALE 5 of 5 (100%)73.8%
Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
PIRATAS VERACRUZ GOALS
Piratas Veracruz Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 6 of 10 (60%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)76.2%
Piratas Veracruz scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
ALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC GOALS
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.10
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 8 of 10 (80%)86.3%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Piratas Veracruz conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.4%
Piratas Veracruz goals →
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
PIRATAS VERACRUZLWDWDLLWWD1.50 PPG
ALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FCLLWLDLWWLL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PIRATAS VERACRUZ HOMExALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.50CORNERS A GAME3.503.30CARDS A GAME2.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
PIRATAS VERACRUZ TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
PIRATAS VERACRUZ OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.56POINTS A GAME1.25+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.88+6.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES8
Piratas Veracruz: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
PIRATAS VERACRUZ 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PIRATAS VERACRUZ OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
ALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC OR DRAW
27%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PIRATAS VERACRUZxALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME2.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%7.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.28.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Piratas Veracruz have scored in 60% of their games.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Piratas Veracruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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