Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Alacranes de Durango have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. CD Mineros de Zacatecas have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Alacranes de Durango score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Alacranes de Durango average 5.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. CD Mineros de Zacatecas score 2.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Mineros de Zacatecas average 3.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Alacranes de Durango's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. CD Mineros de Zacatecas to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Mineros de Zacatecas the likelier winners; CD Mineros de Zacatecas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Mineros de Zacatecas. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Alacranes de Durango 0-1 CD Mineros de Zacatecas (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Mineros de Zacatecas win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · CDM 5 of 10 (50%)61.2%
CD Mineros de Zacatecas: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at CD Mineros de Zacatecas's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
ALA 10 of 10 (100%) · CDM 7 of 10 (70%)88.8%
Alacranes de Durango: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at CD Mineros de Zacatecas's level · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 10 of 10 (100%) · CDM 7 of 10 (70%)88.8%
Alacranes de Durango: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at CD Mineros de Zacatecas's level · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
ALACRANES DE DURANGO GOALS
Alacranes de Durango Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
ALA 6 of 10 (60%) · CDM 7 of 10 (70%)61.2%
Alacranes de Durango scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Mineros de Zacatecas conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at CD Mineros de Zacatecas's level · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
CD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS GOALS
CD Mineros de Zacatecas Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · CDM 5 of 10 (50%)61.2%
CD Mineros de Zacatecas scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · CD Mineros de Zacatecas: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at CD Mineros de Zacatecas's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–111.2%
Alacranes de Durango goals →
CD Mineros de… goals ↓
0-09%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-113%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-42%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALACRANES DE DURANGOWWLDDLLLWW1.40 PPG
CD MINEROS DE ZACATECASWWLLWLWDWD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALACRANES DE DURANGO HOMExCD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME2.100.90CONCEDED A GAME1.5050%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.30CORNERS A GAME3.402.40CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.62-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES8
CD Mineros de Zacatecas: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
ALACRANES DE DURANGO OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
CD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALACRANES DE DURANGOxCD MINEROS DE ZACATECAS
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.200.40CONCEDED A GAME1.601.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE20%8.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.89.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Alacranes de Durango have scored in 60% of their games.
CD Mineros de Zacatecas have scored in 80% of their games.
Alacranes de Durango kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
CD Mineros de Zacatecas kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards