Nueva Chicago vs CD Maipu
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. Nueva Chicago are 15th on 36 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Agropecuario, 2 points clear of Patronato. A win would take them above Agropecuario. CD Maipu are 9th on 44 points after 31 games, 1 point behind San Martin S.J., 2 points clear of Atletico DE Rafaela. A win would take them above San Martin S.J..
Form. Nueva Chicago have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Nueva Chicago have gone W D L W L L. CD Maipu have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. In this competition CD Maipu have gone W D D D L W.
The numbers. Nueva Chicago score 0.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Nueva Chicago average 3.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Maipu score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Maipu average 4.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Nueva Chicago have won one, drawn none and lost three. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Nueva Chicago 0-1 CD Maipu.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: CD Maipu are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. CD Maipu are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Maipu; the meetings favour CD Maipu. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.12, 78% on the records (Nueva Chicago: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; CD Maipu: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CD Maipu or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Both Halves Under 1.5: Yes (the signs point different ways); CD Maipu Over 0.5 goals (CD Maipu's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Nueva Chicago 1-1 CD Maipu (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).