Chacarita Juniors vs CA Patronato Parana
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. Chacarita Juniors are 17th on 30 points after 31 games, 4 points behind Patronato, 7 points clear of Club Atlético Güemes. CA Patronato Parana are 16th on 34 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Almagro, 4 points clear of Chacarita Juniors. A win would take them above Almagro.
Form. Chacarita Juniors have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Chacarita Juniors have gone L W L L L L. CA Patronato Parana have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. In this competition CA Patronato Parana have gone W D D D L W.
The numbers. Chacarita Juniors score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chacarita Juniors average 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CA Patronato Parana score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. CA Patronato Parana average 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Chacarita Juniors have won two, drawn two and lost four. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Chacarita Juniors won one and CA Patronato Parana won three. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Chacarita Juniors 0-2 CA Patronato Parana.
The case against. Chacarita Juniors's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. CA Patronato Parana to win. A tight game. CA Patronato Parana are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA Patronato Parana. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, 85% on the records (Chacarita Juniors: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Patronato Parana: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Chacarita Juniors 0-1 CA Patronato Parana (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).