Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud.
What's at stake. CA San Telmo are 14th on 34 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Atletico Mitre, 1 point clear of All Boys. A win would take them above Atletico Mitre. Club Almirante Brown are 6th on 46 points after 31 games, 6 points behind Colon Santa Fe, 1 point clear of CA Estudiantes.
Form. CA San Telmo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. In this competition CA San Telmo have gone W L W D L W. Club Almirante Brown have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. In this competition Club Almirante Brown have gone L L D D W W.
The numbers. CA San Telmo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Club Almirante Brown score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA San Telmo have won one, drawn four and lost five. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Club Almirante Brown won three. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished CA San Telmo 0-0 Club Almirante Brown.
The case against. CA San Telmo's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Club Almirante Brown to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Club Almirante Brown are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Club Almirante Brown. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.11, 86% on the records (CA San Telmo: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Club Almirante Brown: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA San Telmo 0-1 Club Almirante Brown (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).