Agropecuario Argentino vs CA Ferrocarril Midland
Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Agropecuario Argentino have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. CA Ferrocarril Midland have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Agropecuario Argentino score 1.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Agropecuario Argentino average 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. CA Ferrocarril Midland score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. CA Ferrocarril Midland average 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Agropecuario Argentino the likelier winners, but CA Ferrocarril Midland are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Agropecuario Argentino.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 92% on the records (Agropecuario Argentino: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Ferrocarril Midland: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: CA Ferrocarril Midland or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 CA Ferrocarril Midland (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).