Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CS Italiano have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. CA Talleres de Remedios have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. CS Italiano score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Italiano average 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CA Talleres de Remedios score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. CA Talleres de Remedios average 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.12, 77% on the records (CS Italiano: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CA Talleres de Remedios: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: CS Italiano or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Talleres de Remedios or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CS Italiano 1-1 CA Talleres de Remedios (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).