CA Temperley vs Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy
Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Temperley have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D.
The numbers. CA Temperley score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CA Temperley average 3.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy average 5.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The read. CA Temperley to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Temperley the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CA Temperley.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 73% on the records (CA Temperley: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CA Temperley Over 0.5 Goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Temperley 2-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).