FEFOR

01:35Sat 3 Oct

NAU

Fortaleza EC CE vs Nautico PE

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 01:35 Lagos time.

Form. Fortaleza EC CE have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Nautico PE have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.

The numbers. Fortaleza EC CE score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fortaleza EC CE average 5.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Nautico PE score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Nautico PE average 6.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 57%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Fortaleza EC CE or Both Teams Score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fortaleza EC CE 1-1 Nautico PE (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

FOR 5 of 5 (100%) · NAU 9 of 10 (90%)95%

Fortaleza EC CE: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nautico PE: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level

FORTALEZA EC CE GOALS

Fortaleza EC CE Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

FOR 5 of 5 (100%) · NAU 8 of 10 (80%)88.3%

Fortaleza EC CE scored in 5 of 5 at home · Nautico PE conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level

NAUTICO PE GOALS

Nautico PE Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

FOR 7 of 10 (70%) · NAU 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Nautico PE scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fortaleza EC CE conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

Left off the list: Fortaleza EC CE or Both Teams Score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Fortaleza EC CE goals →

Nautico PE goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FORTALEZA EC CEDWDWWDWDDD1.80 PPG

NAUTICO PEWLDLWWDWDD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FORTALEZA EC CE HOMExNAUTICO PE AWAY

1.17SCORED A GAME1.270.87CONCEDED A GAME1.2360%BOTH SCORED70%40%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.43CORNERS A GAME6.472.47CARDS A GAME2.73

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Fortaleza EC CE have scored in 90% of their games.

Nautico PE have scored in 90% of their games.

Fortaleza EC CE kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Nautico PE kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards