Mozambique vs Sudan
Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Mozambique have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition Mozambique have gone D. Sudan have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Sudan have gone W.
The numbers. Mozambique score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Mozambique average 7.2 shots (2.2 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Sudan score 0.5 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sudan average 10.0 shots (2.0 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 37% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Mozambique 1-1 Sudan (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).