INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION

MADMAD

15:00Tue 29 Sep

TAN

TAN

Madagascar vs Tanzania

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. It's an Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. Madagascar have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Madagascar have gone L. Tanzania have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. In this competition Tanzania have gone L.

The numbers. At home in their last five Madagascar score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game, with three clean sheets. They average 8.8 shots (3.6 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Away in their last five Tanzania score 1.8 and concede one a game, with one clean sheet. They average 10.2 shots (2.2 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Madagascar have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met on 9 Aug 2025 it finished Madagascar 1-2 Tanzania.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.

The read. Madagascar to win. Madagascar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Madagascar.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tanzania Under 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Madagascar 1-0 Tanzania (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAD 5 of 5 (100%) · TAN 4 of 5 (80%)96.5%

Madagascar: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tanzania: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Madagascar: only games against sides at Tanzania's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

MAD 4 of 5 (80%) · TAN 5 of 5 (100%)82.5%

Madagascar: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tanzania: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Madagascar: only games against sides at Tanzania's level · each game weighed by who it was against

MADAGASCAR GOALS

Madagascar Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.38

MAD 4 of 5 (80%) · TAN 4 of 5 (80%)66.5%

Madagascar scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tanzania conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Madagascar: only games against sides at Tanzania's level · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

MAD 4 of 5 (80%) · TAN 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Madagascar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tanzania: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Madagascar: only games against sides at Tanzania's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

MAD 4 of 5 (80%) · TAN 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%

Madagascar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tanzania: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Madagascar: only games against sides at Tanzania's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Tanzania Under 1.5 goals (the numbers (61%) and the records (83%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 8.4%

Madagascar goals →

Tanzania goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MADAGASCARDLWWLWWWLL1.60 PPG

TANZANIADLLLDDLLWL0.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MADAGASCAR HOMExTANZANIA AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.00CORNERS A GAME2.802.67CARDS A GAME2.33

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MADAGASCAR 1 · 25%DRAW 1TANZANIA 2 · 50%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-09-07Madagascar 2 – 3 Tanzania

2021-11-14Madagascar 1 – 1 Tanzania

2025-06-07Madagascar 1 – 0 Tanzania

2025-08-09Madagascar 1 – 2 Tanzania

TRENDS

Madagascar have scored in 90% of their games.

Tanzania have scored in 50% of their games.

Madagascar kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Tanzania kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards