Comoros vs Namibia
Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 13:00 Lagos time at Stade omnisports de Malouzini, Moroni.
Form. Comoros have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game, with a recent run of L L D D L. In this competition Comoros have gone L. Namibia have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game, their last five being W L L L W. In this competition Namibia have gone W.
The numbers. Comoros score 0.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. They average 7.3 shots (1.7 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game, holding 40% of the ball. Namibia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal, and they average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 9.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Comoros have won one, drawn one and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Aug 2019, it finished Comoros 0-0 Namibia.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side, and their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%, and three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 82% on the records (Comoros: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Namibia: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Comoros 1-1 Namibia (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).