INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION

LIBLBR

20:00Tue 29 Sep

MLI

MAL

Liberia vs Mali

CLASS A

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DOUBLE CHANCE

Class A

LIBv

MAL

Double Chance: Draw or Mali

Liberia v Mali

International - Africa… · 20:00

1.12odds

89%book

+3edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 20:00 Lagos time at Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex in Monrovia.

Form. Liberia have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L and in this competition Liberia have gone L L. Mali have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D and in this competition Mali have gone W.

The numbers. Liberia score 1.1 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal, averaging 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards. Mali score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal, averaging 11.4 shots (3.4 on target), 3.4 corners, 3.5 cards and 50% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. Mali to win. Their goals for and against make Mali the likelier winners; Mali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mali.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Mali at 1.12, 97% on the records (Mali unbeaten in 5 of 5; Liberia failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Liberia Under 1.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Liberia 0-1 Mali (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Draw or MaliMAININ CODES

1.12

LBR 5 of 5 (100%) · MLI 8 of 10 (80%)92.5%

Mali unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Liberia failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 97% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Mali (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.16

LBR 4 of 6 (67%) · MLI 5 of 7 (71%)84.2%

Mali won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Liberia lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 2, refunded 4, lost 3

Mali or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LBR 3 of 5 (60%) · MLI 10 of 10 (100%)77.5%

Mali: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Liberia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Mali win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.17

LBR 3 of 5 (60%) · MLI 10 of 10 (100%)77.5%

Mali or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%

1.31

LBR 2 of 5 (40%) · MLI 8 of 10 (80%)53.4%

Mali: the bet landed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Liberia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Mali to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.50

LBR 2 of 5 (40%) · MLI 5 of 10 (50%)51.4%

Mali won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Liberia lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

LBR 9 of 10 (90%) · MLI 3 of 5 (60%)62.4%

Liberia: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mali: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

LIBERIA GOALS

Liberia Under 1.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.12

LBR 7 of 10 (70%) · MLI 5 of 5 (100%)85.5%

Liberia scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mali conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 96% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

MALI GOALS

Mali Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

LBR 3 of 5 (60%) · MLI 10 of 10 (100%)77.5%

Mali scored in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Liberia conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Mali: only games against sides at Liberia's level · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 14.6%

Liberia goals →

Mali goals ↓

0-011%

1-07%

2-03%

3-00.8%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-115%

1-113%

2-15%

3-11%

4-10.2%

5-10.0%

0-211%

1-29%

2-23%

3-20.9%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-36%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

LIBERIALDLLWLDWDL0.90 PPG

MALIDWLWWDDDLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LIBERIA HOMExMALI AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.402.10CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.402.25CARDS A GAME3.50

TRENDS

Liberia have scored in 80% of their games.

Mali have scored in 70% of their games.

Liberia kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Mali kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards