Somalia vs Ivory Coast
Match details. It's an Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2 clash. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 20:00 Lagos time. The game will be at Accra Sports Stadium.
Form. Somalia have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game, with a recent run of L D L L L and a league record of L D. Ivory Coast have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game, their last five being W L W L W and they sit with a win in the competition.
The numbers. Somalia score 0.2 and concede two a game at home in their last five, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. They average 4.8 shots (1.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Ivory Coast score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, keeping five clean sheets. They average 14.0 shots (3.8 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The read. Ivory Coast to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ivory Coast the likelier winners; Ivory Coast are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ivory Coast; their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ivory Coast or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Somalia 1-2 Ivory Coast (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).