Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Acassuso have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. Club Ciudad de Bolivar have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.
The numbers. CA Acassuso score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CA Acassuso average 3.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Club Ciudad de Bolivar score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Ciudad de Bolivar average 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.12, 90% on the records (CA Acassuso: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Club Ciudad de Bolivar: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CA Acassuso Under 1.5 Goals at 1.37. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Club Ciudad de Bolivar or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Ciudad de Bolivar or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Club Ciudad de Bolivar or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call). Predicted score: CA Acassuso 1-1 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).