Las Palmas vs Valladolid
Match details. This is LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. The game is at Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria. Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez is the referee.
What's at stake. Las Palmas sit 11th on 10 points after 7 games, one point behind Leganes and level with Sporting Gijon. A win would lift them above Leganes. Valladolid are 17th on 8 points after 7 games, level with Celta de Vigo II and one point clear of Cadiz. A win would take them above Celta de Vigo II.
Form. Las Palmas have three wins, one draw and three losses in their last seven, 1.4 points a game, with a recent run of L L W D L. In this competition they have gone L L W D L W. Valladolid have two wins, two draws and three losses in their last seven, 1.1 points a game, recent form W D L W D. In this competition they have gone W D L W D L.
The numbers. Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets. They average 10.4 shots (3.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game, holding 54% of the ball. Valladolid score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. They average 11.7 shots (4.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.7 cards a game, holding 50% of the ball.
Head to head. Las Palmas have won four, drawn two and lost one of the last seven meetings. Three of those seven went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in five. In the last four meetings Las Palmas won three and one was drawn. The last meeting on 3 May 2026 ended 2-1 to Las Palmas, with 12 shots to 8, 56% of the ball and three yellow cards.
The case against. Valladolid's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Las Palmas to win. A tight game. Las Palmas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Las Palmas; the meetings favour Las Palmas; their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Las Palmas 1-0 Valladolid (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).