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SWEDEN - ETTAN
Karlbergs BK crestKBKAR
18:00Fri 2 Oct
SOLSollentuna FK crestSF

Karlbergs BK vs Sollentuna FK

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Ettan, Norra - 25. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadshagens IP.

What's at stake. Karlbergs BK are 11th on 29 points after 24 games, level on points with Umeå FC, 2 points clear of Vasalund. A win would take them above Umeå FC. Sollentuna FK are 13th on 24 points after 24 games, 3 points behind Vasalund, 3 points clear of Piteå. A win would take them level on points with Vasalund. Karlbergs BK have nothing left to play for. Sollentuna FK have nothing left to play for.

Form. Karlbergs BK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition Karlbergs BK have gone D L L W L D. Sollentuna FK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Sollentuna FK have gone L D L L W L.

The numbers. Karlbergs BK score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Karlbergs BK average 4.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Sollentuna FK score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sollentuna FK average 3.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Karlbergs BK have won one, drawn three and lost three. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Karlbergs BK won one, one was drawn and Sollentuna FK won two. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Karlbergs BK 1-0 Sollentuna FK.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Karlbergs BK 1-2 Sollentuna FK (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.32
KAR 7 of 10 (70%) · SOL 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%
Karlbergs BK: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sollentuna FK: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · Karlbergs BK: only games against sides at Sollentuna FK's level · Sollentuna FK: only games against sides at Karlbergs BK's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 7.3%
Karlbergs BK goals →
Sollentuna FK goals ↓
0-013%
1-012%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-27%
1-27%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-31%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.7%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
KARLBERGS BKWLWLDLWLLD1.10 PPG
SOLLENTUNA FKDLWWLWLLDL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KARLBERGS BK HOMExSOLLENTUNA FK AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS20%29%FAILED TO SCORE38%4.58CORNERS A GAME3.651.33CARDS A GAME1.48
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.10POINTS A GAME0.89-0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.810LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
KARLBERGS BK OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
SOLLENTUNA FK OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
KARLBERGS BKxSOLLENTUNA FK
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME0.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.211.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
KARLBERGS BK 1 · 14%DRAW 3SOLLENTUNA FK 3 · 43%
6 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2016-05-21Karlbergs BK 2 – 3 Sollentuna FK
2016-09-10Karlbergs BK 1 – 1 Sollentuna FK
2024-05-04Karlbergs BK 2 – 2 Sollentuna FK
2024-10-04Karlbergs BK 1 – 2 Sollentuna FK
2025-06-27Karlbergs BK 1 – 2 Sollentuna FK
2025-11-09Karlbergs BK 2 – 2 Sollentuna FK
2026-04-04Karlbergs BK 1 – 0 Sollentuna FK
TRENDS
Karlbergs BK have scored in 50% of their games.
Sollentuna FK have scored in 70% of their games.
Karlbergs BK kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Sollentuna FK kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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