Match details. Ettan, Norra - 25. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadshagens IP.
What's at stake. Karlbergs BK are 11th on 29 points after 24 games, level on points with Umeå FC, 2 points clear of Vasalund. A win would take them above Umeå FC. Sollentuna FK are 13th on 24 points after 24 games, 3 points behind Vasalund, 3 points clear of Piteå. A win would take them level on points with Vasalund. Karlbergs BK have nothing left to play for. Sollentuna FK have nothing left to play for.
Form. Karlbergs BK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition Karlbergs BK have gone D L L W L D. Sollentuna FK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Sollentuna FK have gone L D L L W L.
The numbers. Karlbergs BK score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Karlbergs BK average 4.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Sollentuna FK score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sollentuna FK average 3.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Karlbergs BK have won one, drawn three and lost three. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Karlbergs BK won one, one was drawn and Sollentuna FK won two. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Karlbergs BK 1-0 Sollentuna FK.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Karlbergs BK 1-2 Sollentuna FK (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).