Naestved BK vs Nykoebing FC

Match details. 2nd Division, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Naestved BK are 5th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Middelfart, level on points with Fremad Amager. A win would take them above Middelfart. Nykoebing FC are 1st on 21 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of VSK Århus.

Form. Naestved BK have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W. Nykoebing FC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.

The numbers. Naestved BK score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Naestved BK average 0.0 cards a game. Nykoebing FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Nykoebing FC average 0.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Naestved BK have won three, drawn two and lost none. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Naestved BK won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2025, it finished Naestved BK 2-0 Nykoebing FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Nykoebing FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Naestved BK: in the last five meetings, Naestved BK won three and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Naestved BK or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nykoebing FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Naestved BK 1-1 Nykoebing FC (10% chance).