MALMLT

19:45Thu 1 Oct

GIB

GIB

Malta vs Gibraltar

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE BETLIVELY · NOT IN CODES

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

MALv

GIB

Under 3.5 Goals

Malta v Gibraltar

International - UEFA… · 19:45

1.30odds

77%book

-5edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. This is a UEFA Nations League clash. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

Form. Malta have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five are W L L L W. Gibraltar have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five are D L L L L.

The numbers. Malta score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. They average 7.8 shots (3.2 on target), 2.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Gibraltar score 0.2 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and eight games without a goal. They average 3.0 shots (0.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

The case against. Gibraltar's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The read. Malta to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Malta the likelier winners; Malta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Malta.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 64% on the records (Malta: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Gibraltar: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Malta 1-0 Gibraltar (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

MLT 8 of 10 (80%) · GIB 8 of 10 (80%)84.9%

Malta: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gibraltar: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 3.5 GoalsMAINPAGE ONLY

1.30

MLT 7 of 10 (70%) · GIB 7 of 10 (70%)71.9%

Malta: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gibraltar: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against

MALTA GOALS

Malta Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

MLT 4 of 10 (40%) · GIB 9 of 10 (90%)68.5%

Malta scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gibraltar conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.10

MLT 8 of 10 (80%) · GIB 9 of 10 (90%)85.8%

Malta: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gibraltar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

MLT 9 of 10 (90%) · GIB 8 of 10 (80%)82.6%

Malta: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gibraltar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

MLT 7 of 10 (70%) · GIB 7 of 10 (70%)67%

Malta: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gibraltar: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.3%

Malta goals →

Gibraltar goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

MALTAWLLLWLDLDL0.80 PPG

GIBRALTARDLLLLLLLLL0.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MALTA HOMExGIBRALTAR AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME0.202.40CONCEDED A GAME2.7020%CLEAN SHEETS10%2.00CORNERS A GAME4.003.56CARDS A GAME2.11

TRENDS

Malta have scored in 40% of their games.

Gibraltar have scored in 20% of their games.

Malta kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Gibraltar kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards