Avai FC SC vs Ceara SC CE
Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis. The referee is Alex Gomes Stefano.
What's at stake. Avai FC SC are 17th on 30 points after 30 games, 5 points behind Botafogo SP, 2 points clear of Londrina. Ceara SC CE are 15th on 36 points after 30 games, 5 points behind Nautico Recife, 1 point clear of Botafogo SP.
Form. Avai FC SC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Avai FC SC have gone L L D L L L. Ceara SC CE have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. In this competition Ceara SC CE have gone D W D L W L.
The numbers. Avai FC SC score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Avai FC SC average 11.1 shots (2.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Ceara SC CE score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ceara SC CE average 13.8 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Avai FC SC have won two, drawn two and lost six. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Avai FC SC won one and Ceara SC CE won three. The last time they met, on 10 Jun 2026, it finished Avai FC SC 1-2 Ceara SC CE: Avai FC SC had 11 shots to 17, 58% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Avai FC SC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Ceara SC CE to win. A tight game. Ceara SC CE are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Ceara SC CE. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 89% on the records (Avai FC SC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Ceara SC CE: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Avai FC SC 0-1 Ceara SC CE (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).