ENGLAND AMATEUR - ISTHMIAN LEAGUE, PR. DIV

MTMAL

19:45Tue 29 Sep

CRA

Maldon & Tiptree FC vs Cray Wanderers

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Maldon & Tiptree FC are 16th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Cray Wanderers, 1 point clear of Cheshunt. A win would take them above Cray Wanderers. Cray Wanderers are 15th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Burgess Hill Town, level on points with Maldon & Tiptree. A win would take them above Burgess Hill Town.

Form. Maldon & Tiptree FC have won three, drawn none and lost five of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Maldon & Tiptree FC have gone L L L W W L. Cray Wanderers have won two, drawn three and lost two of their last seven, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. In this competition Cray Wanderers have gone D L W W L D.

The numbers. Maldon & Tiptree FC score 1.5 and concede 2.6 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 26 Oct 2019, it finished Maldon & Tiptree FC 3-0 Cray Wanderers.

The case against. Maldon & Tiptree FC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Cray Wanderers to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cray Wanderers the likelier winners; Cray Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cray Wanderers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Maldon & Tiptree FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Cray Wanderers); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Maldon & Tiptree FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Cray Wanderers). Predicted score: Maldon & Tiptree FC 1-2 Cray Wanderers (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Cray Wanderers or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 6 of 7 (86%) · CRA 7 of 8 (88%)86.6%

Cray Wanderers: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Maldon & Tiptree FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level

Cray Wanderers or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 5 of 7 (71%) · CRA 7 of 8 (88%)79.5%

Cray Wanderers: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Maldon & Tiptree FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 8 of 8 (100%) · CRA 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 7 of 8 (88%) · CRA 6 of 7 (86%)86.6%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.41

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · CRA 5 of 7 (71%)73.2%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

MALDON & TIPTREE FC GOALS

Maldon & Tiptree FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · CRA 6 of 7 (86%)80.4%

Maldon & Tiptree FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

CRAY WANDERERS GOALS

Cray Wanderers Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 6 of 7 (86%) · CRA 7 of 8 (88%)86.6%

Cray Wanderers scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Maldon & Tiptree FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 7 of 8 (88%) · CRA 6 of 7 (86%)86.6%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · on half-time scores · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Cray Wanderers's level · Cray Wanderers: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

Left off the list: Maldon & Tiptree FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Cray Wanderers); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Maldon & Tiptree FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Cray Wanderers)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.7%

Maldon & Tiptree FC goals →

Cray Wanderers goals ↓

0-03%

1-03%

2-02%

3-01%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-14%

1-18%

2-16%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-34%

1-37%

2-35%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.3%

0-43%

1-44%

2-43%

3-42%

4-40.6%

5-40.2%

0-51%

1-52%

2-51%

3-50.7%

4-50.3%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 8

MALDON & TIPTREE FCLWLWWLLL1.12 PPG

CRAY WANDERERSDDLWWLD1.29 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MALDON & TIPTREE FC HOMExCRAY WANDERERS AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.862.62CONCEDED A GAME1.5712%CLEAN SHEETS14%25%FAILED TO SCORE14%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.12POINTS A GAME1.29-1.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7

Cray Wanderers: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

74%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 85/90

MALDON & TIPTREE FC OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

CRAY WANDERERS OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MALDON & TIPTREE FCxCRAY WANDERERS

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.402.60CONCEDED A GAME2.004.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

MALDON & TIPTREE FC 1 · 100%DRAW 0CRAY WANDERERS 0 · 0%

2019-10-26Maldon & Tiptree FC 3 – 0 Cray Wanderers

TRENDS

Maldon & Tiptree FC failed to score in 25% of their games.

Cray Wanderers failed to score in 14% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table