Alvechurch vs Stourbridge FC
Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Alvechurch are 4th on 19 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Bury Town, 4 points clear of Kettering Town. A win would take them above Bury Town. Stourbridge FC are 14th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with Halesowen Town, 3 points clear of Racing Club Warwick. A win would take them above Halesowen Town.
Form. Alvechurch have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Stourbridge FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L.
The numbers. Alvechurch score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. Alvechurch average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Stourbridge FC score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Stourbridge FC average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Alvechurch have won four, drawn one and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alvechurch won one, one was drawn and Stourbridge FC won two. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Alvechurch 1-1 Stourbridge FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Stourbridge FC's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Alvechurch to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Alvechurch the likelier winners; Alvechurch are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alvechurch. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Alvechurch or Draw at 1.24, 73% on the records (Alvechurch unbeaten in 7 of 7; Stourbridge FC failed to win 5 of 8). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Alvechurch or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Alvechurch or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Alvechurch 2-0 Stourbridge FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).