Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AFC Emley are 15th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Hyde United, level on points with Lancaster City. A win would take them above Hyde United. Workington AFC are 8th on 16 points after 9 games, level on points with Curzon Ashton, 3 points clear of Gainsborough Trinity. A win would take them above Curzon Ashton.
Form. AFC Emley have won two, drawn four and lost three of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. In this competition AFC Emley have gone L L D D D W. Workington AFC have won five, drawn one and lost three of their last nine, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Workington AFC have gone W W W W W L.
The numbers. AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. AFC Emley average 6.0 shots (2.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Workington AFC score 1.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
The case against. AFC Emley's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Workington AFC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Workington AFC the likelier winners; Workington AFC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AFC Emley 1-2 Workington AFC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Workington AFC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 8 of 9 (89%) · WOR 7 of 9 (78%)83.3%
Workington AFC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Workington AFC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 7 of 9 (78%) · WOR 6 of 9 (67%)72.2%
Workington AFC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Workington AFCIN CODES
1.41
AFC 6 of 9 (67%) · WOR 7 of 9 (78%)72.2%
Workington AFC unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley failed to win 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Workington AFC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
AFC 5 of 8 (62%) · WOR 3 of 5 (60%)61.3%
Workington AFC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AFC Emley lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · won 4, refunded 1, lost 3
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 7 of 9 (78%) · WOR 9 of 9 (100%)88.9%
AFC Emley: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Workington AFC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
AFC 7 of 9 (78%) · WOR 8 of 9 (89%)83.3%
AFC Emley: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Workington AFC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.58
AFC 6 of 9 (67%) · WOR 7 of 9 (78%)72.2%
AFC Emley: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Workington AFC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
AFC EMLEY GOALS
AFC Emley Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
AFC 6 of 9 (67%) · WOR 4 of 9 (44%)55.6%
AFC Emley scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Workington AFC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level
WORKINGTON AFC GOALS
Workington AFC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AFC 7 of 9 (78%) · WOR 7 of 9 (78%)77.8%
Workington AFC scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Workington AFC Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.91
AFC 6 of 9 (67%) · WOR 4 of 9 (44%)55.6%
Workington AFC scored over 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Emley conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Workington AFC: only games against sides at AFC Emley's level · AFC Emley: only games against sides at Workington AFC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.6%
AFC Emley goals →
Workington AFC goals ↓
0-05%
1-05%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-18%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-35%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.8%
1-51.0%
2-50.6%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 9
AFC EMLEYDLWWDDDLL1.11 PPG
WORKINGTON AFCLLDLWWWWW1.78 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AFC EMLEY HOMExWORKINGTON AFC AWAY
0.89SCORED A GAME1.891.67CONCEDED A GAME1.6722%CLEAN SHEETS11%44%FAILED TO SCORE22%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.11POINTS A GAME1.78-0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.09LEAGUE GAMES9
Workington AFC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
WORKINGTON AFC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
76%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AFC EMLEY OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
WORKINGTON AFC OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AFC EMLEYxWORKINGTON AFC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.802.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AFC Emley have scored in 40% of their games.
Workington AFC have scored in 100% of their games.
AFC Emley failed to score in 44% of their games.
Workington AFC failed to score in 22% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards