GUAGUA

03:00Tue 29 Sep

SLV

Guatemala vs El Salvador

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. This is a CONCACAF Nations League League A, 2 tie. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 03:00 Lagos time at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in Guatemala City.

Form. Guatemala are 3-2-5 in their last ten, 1.1 points a game, with a recent run L W L W D and a loss in this competition; El Salvador are 3-1-6 in their last ten, 1.0 points a game, recent run W W D L L and a win in this competition.

The numbers. Guatemala score 1.4 and concede 1.5 per game over their last ten, keep one clean sheet and have been shut out twice, average 15.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.5 corners, 1.6 cards and 48% possession; El Salvador score 0.7 and concede 1.8 in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three shut-outs, average 8.2 shots (2.0 on target), 3.4 corners, 2.2 cards and 45% possession.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Guatemala have won two and lost two, with no draws. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams failed to score in each. The most recent clash on 15 Oct 2025 ended Guatemala 1-0 El Salvador; Guatemala had 4 shots to 5, 42% possession and three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals their for and against figures point to an open game, yet their records give only 42% for over 2.5 goals and the last four meetings all stayed under that mark.

The case against. El Salvador's record still gives them a 41% chance to win.

The read. Guatemala to win. Their goals for and against make Guatemala the likelier winners; Guatemala are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Guatemala.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Guatemala 1-0 El Salvador (10% chance).

The agreed story. Guatemala or the draw, goals in between.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Guatemala in their last internationals: lost 2-3 at Jamaica. El Salvador in their last internationals: won 3-1 v Martinique. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Guatemala or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.19

GUA 7 of 10 (70%) · SLV 5 of 6 (83%)81.4%

Guatemala: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Guatemala or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.23

GUA 8 of 10 (80%) · SLV 4 of 6 (67%)76.3%

Guatemala: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

Guatemala or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.40

GUA 6 of 10 (60%) · SLV 4 of 6 (67%)48.1%

Guatemala: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

GUA 7 of 10 (70%) · SLV 6 of 6 (100%)87.4%

Guatemala: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

GUATEMALA GOALS

Guatemala Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

GUA 8 of 10 (80%) · SLV 4 of 6 (67%)75.3%

Guatemala scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 2 of 4 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.09

GUA 10 of 10 (100%) · SLV 6 of 6 (100%)97%

Guatemala: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 98% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.18

GUA 8 of 10 (80%) · SLV 6 of 6 (100%)90.2%

Guatemala: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

GUA 5 of 10 (50%) · SLV 5 of 6 (83%)67%

Guatemala: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GUA 5 of 8 (62%) · SLV 5 of 5 (100%)81.1%

Guatemala's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · El Salvador's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.4%

Guatemala goals →

El Salvador goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

GUATEMALALWLLDDWLWL1.10 PPG

EL SALVADORLWLLLLLDWW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GUATEMALA HOMExEL SALVADOR AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.801.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.50CORNERS A GAME3.401.62CARDS A GAME2.20

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

GUATEMALA 2 · 50%DRAW 0EL SALVADOR 2 · 50%

0 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-07-12Guatemala 0 – 2 El Salvador

2023-09-08Guatemala 2 – 0 El Salvador

2025-09-05Guatemala 0 – 1 El Salvador

2025-10-15Guatemala 1 – 0 El Salvador

TRENDS

Guatemala have scored in 90% of their games.

El Salvador have scored in 30% of their games.

Guatemala kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

El Salvador kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards