TMTEG

11:00Sun 4 Oct

RBO

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs RB Omiya Ardija

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.

What's at stake. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 11th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Oita Trinita, 1 point clear of Blaublitz Akita. A win would take them above Oita Trinita. RB Omiya Ardija are 4th on 16 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Vegalta Sendai, level on points with Shonan Bellmare. A win would take them above Vegalta Sendai.

Form. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. RB Omiya Ardija have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L.

The numbers. Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Tegevajaro Miyazaki average 11.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game. RB Omiya Ardija score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. RB Omiya Ardija average 11.9 shots (5.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Head to head. RB Omiya Ardija have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 Jul 2024, it finished Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 RB Omiya Ardija.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: RB Omiya Ardija or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 RB Omiya Ardija (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.25

TEG 6 of 8 (75%) · RBO 5 of 8 (62%)66.4%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RB Omiya Ardija: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at RB Omiya Ardija's level · RB Omiya Ardija: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

TEG 4 of 8 (50%) · RBO 5 of 8 (62%)55.5%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RB Omiya Ardija: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at RB Omiya Ardija's level · RB Omiya Ardija: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI GOALS

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.27

TEG 5 of 8 (62%) · RBO 5 of 8 (62%)60.9%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RB Omiya Ardija conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at RB Omiya Ardija's level · RB Omiya Ardija: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

TEG 4 of 8 (50%) · RBO 6 of 8 (75%)60.9%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored under 1.5 in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RB Omiya Ardija conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at RB Omiya Ardija's level · RB Omiya Ardija: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

RB OMIYA ARDIJA GOALS

RB Omiya Ardija Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.26

TEG 6 of 8 (75%) · RBO 6 of 8 (75%)71.9%

RB Omiya Ardija scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tegevajaro Miyazaki conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · RB Omiya Ardija: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at RB Omiya Ardija's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

TEG 5 of 8 (62%) · RBO 6 of 8 (75%)68.8%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RB Omiya Ardija: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · Tegevajaro Miyazaki: only games against sides at RB Omiya Ardija's level · RB Omiya Ardija: only games against sides at Tegevajaro Miyazaki's level

Left off the list: RB Omiya Ardija or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija win or both teams score (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija (Draw No Bet) (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or RB Omiya Ardija (no result call); RB Omiya Ardija or Draw (1UP) (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.1%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki goals →

RB Omiya Ardija goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKILDDDLLLWWW1.20 PPG

RB OMIYA ARDIJAWWWWDLDDDW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI HOMExRB OMIYA ARDIJA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.901.40CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%38%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.40CORNERS A GAME4.201.00CARDS A GAME1.40

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.38POINTS A GAME1.86+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7

RB Omiya Ardija: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 85/90

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

RB OMIYA ARDIJA OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKIxRB OMIYA ARDIJA

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.602.00CONCEDED A GAME0.804.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

TEGEVAJARO MIYAZAKI 0 · 0%DRAW 0RB OMIYA ARDIJA 2 · 100%

2024-03-23Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 – 3 RB Omiya Ardija

2024-07-27Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0 – 2 RB Omiya Ardija

TRENDS

Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in 60% of their games.

RB Omiya Ardija have scored in 80% of their games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

RB Omiya Ardija kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards