JAMJAM

01:00Tue 29 Sep

HON

HON

Jamaica vs Honduras

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. CONCACAF Nations League, League A - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Independence Park, Kingston.

Form. Jamaica have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition Jamaica have gone W. Honduras have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. In this competition Honduras have gone L.

The numbers. Jamaica score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Jamaica average 15.1 shots (5.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Honduras score 1.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. Honduras average 12.5 shots (3.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Jamaica have won five, drawn one and lost none. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Jamaica won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Oct 2024, it finished Jamaica 0-0 Honduras: Jamaica had 4 shots to 13, 61% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The read. Jamaica to win. Both teams' records favour Jamaica; the meetings favour Jamaica.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Jamaica 1-0 Honduras (14% chance).

The agreed story. Jamaica or the draw, goals in between.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Jamaica in their last internationals: won 3-2 v Guatemala. Honduras in their last internationals: lost 2-3 v Suriname. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Jamaica or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

JAM 5 of 5 (100%) · HON 4 of 6 (67%)84.5%

Jamaica: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Honduras: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · Honduras: only games against sides at Jamaica's level · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

JAM 4 of 5 (80%) · HON 5 of 6 (83%)77.3%

Jamaica: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Honduras: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · Honduras: only games against sides at Jamaica's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.29

JAM 3 of 5 (60%) · HON 5 of 6 (83%)75.3%

Jamaica: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Honduras: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Honduras: only games against sides at Jamaica's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%

1.37

JAM 4 of 5 (80%) · HON 3 of 6 (50%)45%

Jamaica: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Honduras: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 4 of 6 · Honduras: only games against sides at Jamaica's level · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

JAM 4 of 5 (80%) · HON 3 of 6 (50%)58.4%

Jamaica: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Honduras: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Honduras: only games against sides at Jamaica's level · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

JAM 6 of 7 (86%) · HON 4 of 5 (80%)79%

Jamaica's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Honduras's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Honduras: only games against sides at Jamaica's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Honduras or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Jamaica)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.6%

Jamaica goals →

Honduras goals ↓

0-014%

1-014%

2-08%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-112%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-26%

2-23%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

JAMAICAWLWWLWDDWW2.00 PPG

HONDURASWWLDWDWLDL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

JAMAICA HOMExHONDURAS AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.101.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7060%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.71CORNERS A GAME5.382.86CARDS A GAME2.00

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

JAMAICA 5 · 83%DRAW 1HONDURAS 0 · 0%

3 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-06-18Jamaica 3 – 2 Honduras

2021-10-14Jamaica 2 – 0 Honduras

2022-03-31Jamaica 2 – 1 Honduras

2023-09-09Jamaica 1 – 0 Honduras

2024-09-11Jamaica 2 – 1 Honduras

2024-10-15Jamaica 0 – 0 Honduras

TRENDS

Jamaica have scored in 70% of their games.

Honduras have scored in 50% of their games.

Jamaica kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Honduras kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards