Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 9. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gran Parque Central, Montevideo.
What's at stake. Club Nacional de Football are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, level on points with Juventud, level on points with Cerro. A win would take them above Juventud. Montevideo City Torque are 2nd on 19 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Liverpool Montevideo, 2 points clear of Deportivo Maldonado. A win would take them above Liverpool Montevideo.
Form. Club Nacional de Football have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition Club Nacional de Football have gone W W D D W W. Montevideo City Torque have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Montevideo City Torque have gone D L W W W W.
The numbers. Club Nacional de Football score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Club Nacional de Football average 6.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Montevideo City Torque score two and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Montevideo City Torque average 5.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Nacional de Football have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Club Nacional de Football won four. The last time they met, on 15 May 2026, it finished Club Nacional de Football 2-1 Montevideo City Torque.
Where it pulls both ways. Montevideo City Torque are the form side, but the meetings favour Club Nacional de Football: in the last ten meetings, Club Nacional de Football won seven, Montevideo City Torque won one and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, 77% on the records (Club Nacional de Football: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Montevideo City Torque: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Club Nacional de Football or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Montevideo City Torque win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Club Nacional de Football 2-1 Montevideo City Torque (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).