SFSCF

11:00Sun 4 Oct

GDC

SC Farense vs GD Chaves

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio de São Luís, Faro. The referee is Bruno Miguel do Carmo Vieira.

What's at stake. SC Farense are 10th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Tondela, 1 point clear of Portimonense. A win would take them above Tondela. GD Chaves are 16th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Amarante, level on points with FC Porto B. A win would take them above Amarante.

Form. SC Farense have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. GD Chaves have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.

The numbers. SC Farense score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. SC Farense average 11.8 shots (4.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game. GD Chaves score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. GD Chaves average 14.5 shots (6.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings SC Farense have won three, drawn one and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SC Farense won one, one was drawn and GD Chaves won two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished SC Farense 0-2 GD Chaves: four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. SC Farense are the form side, but the meetings favour GD Chaves: in the last eight meetings, SC Farense won three, GD Chaves won four and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: SC Farense or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SC Farense or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SC Farense or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: SC Farense 1-1 GD Chaves (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCF 9 of 9 (100%) · GDC 9 of 9 (100%)100%

SC Farense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCF 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 9 of 9 (100%)91.7%

SC Farense: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCF 9 of 9 (100%) · GDC 7 of 9 (78%)87.5%

SC Farense: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

SCF 5 of 9 (56%) · GDC 7 of 9 (78%)75%

SC Farense: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

SC FARENSE GOALS

SC Farense Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

SCF 6 of 9 (67%) · GDC 8 of 9 (89%)75%

SC Farense scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

GD CHAVES GOALS

GD Chaves Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.39

SCF 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 6 of 9 (67%)79.2%

GD Chaves scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SC Farense conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level

GD Chaves Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

SCF 5 of 9 (56%) · GDC 8 of 9 (89%)62.5%

GD Chaves scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · SC Farense conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 6 · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.17

SCF 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 7 of 9 (78%)87.5%

SC Farense: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

SCF 8 of 9 (89%) · GDC 5 of 9 (56%)70.8%

SC Farense: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SCF 7 of 9 (78%) · GDC 7 of 9 (78%)77.8%

SC Farense's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · GD Chaves's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · SC Farense: only games against sides at GD Chaves's level · GD Chaves: only games against sides at SC Farense's level

Left off the list: SC Farense or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SC Farense or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SC Farense or Both Teams Score (no result call); SC Farense or Draw (1UP) (no result call); SC Farense (Draw No Bet) (no result call); SC Farense 1UP (no result call); SC Farense or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

SC Farense goals →

GD Chaves goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

SC FARENSEDLWDWWDLDW1.60 PPG

GD CHAVESWLLWLLDLWW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SC FARENSE HOMExGD CHAVES AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.600.70CONCEDED A GAME1.8040%CLEAN SHEETS10%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.702.90CARDS A GAME2.40

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

SC FARENSE 3 · 38%DRAW 1GD CHAVES 4 · 50%

4 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-11-30SC Farense 1 – 0 GD Chaves

2021-07-24SC Farense 2 – 1 GD Chaves

2021-12-18SC Farense 1 – 2 GD Chaves

2022-04-30SC Farense 1 – 2 GD Chaves

2023-08-26SC Farense 5 – 0 GD Chaves

2024-02-04SC Farense 1 – 1 GD Chaves

2025-09-28SC Farense 0 – 2 GD Chaves

2026-02-22SC Farense 0 – 2 GD Chaves

TRENDS

SC Farense have scored in 70% of their games.

GD Chaves have scored in 90% of their games.

SC Farense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

GD Chaves kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards