Match details. UEFA Champions League Women, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal.
What's at stake. SL Benfica Lisbon W are 3rd on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Barcelona W, level on points with Arsenal W. A win would take them above Barcelona W. Bayern Munich W are 8th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Manchester City W, level on points with Paris Saint Germain W. A win would take them above Manchester City W.
Form. SL Benfica Lisbon W have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition SL Benfica Lisbon W have gone W. Bayern Munich W have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Bayern Munich W have gone D.
The numbers. SL Benfica Lisbon W score 2.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Bayern Munich W score 2.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last four meetings SL Benfica Lisbon W have won none, drawn one and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Dec 2022, it finished SL Benfica Lisbon W 0-2 Bayern Munich W.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make SL Benfica Lisbon W the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Bayern Munich W; the meetings favour Bayern Munich W.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 85% on the records (SL Benfica Lisbon W: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Bayern Munich W: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SL Benfica Lisbon W or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bayern Munich W or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SL Benfica Lisbon W 2-1 Bayern Munich W (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).