Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Cariari Pococi are 7th on 12 points after 7 games, level on points with AD Carmelita, 1 point clear of Municipal Grecia. A win would take them above AD Carmelita. CS Uruguay de Coronado are 11th on 7 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Futbol Consultants Moravia, 1 point clear of Santa Cruz FC. A win would take them level on points with Futbol Consultants Moravia.
Form. AD Cariari Pococi have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. CS Uruguay de Coronado have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.
The numbers. AD Cariari Pococi score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Cariari Pococi average 8.4 shots (2.7 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CS Uruguay de Coronado score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Uruguay de Coronado average 9.8 shots (3.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD Cariari Pococi have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AD Cariari Pococi won two, one was drawn and CS Uruguay de Coronado won one. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished AD Cariari Pococi 1-0 CS Uruguay de Coronado.
The case against. CS Uruguay de Coronado's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. AD Cariari Pococi to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AD Cariari Pococi the likelier winners; AD Cariari Pococi are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: AD Cariari Pococi or Draw at 1.20, 73% on the records (AD Cariari Pococi unbeaten in 7 of 10; CS Uruguay de Coronado failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AD Cariari Pococi or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AD Cariari Pococi or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Cariari Pococi 1-0 CS Uruguay de Coronado (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).