Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone
Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo.
Form. Equatorial Guinea have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Equatorial Guinea have gone L. Sierra Leone have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition Sierra Leone have gone L L D.
The numbers. Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Equatorial Guinea average 8.5 shots (2.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Sierra Leone score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Sierra Leone average 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 20 Jan 2022, it finished Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Sierra Leone: Equatorial Guinea had 17 shots to 7, 53% of the ball, nine yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Sierra Leone (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).