Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata
Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Yurtec Stadium, Sendai.
What's at stake. Vegalta Sendai are 3rd on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with Kataller Toyama, 1 point clear of Omiya Ardija. A win would take them above Kataller Toyama. Jubilo Iwata are 14th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Tochigi City, level on points with Vanraure Hachinohe. A win would take them above Tochigi City.
Form. Vegalta Sendai have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Jubilo Iwata have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Vegalta Sendai score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Vegalta Sendai average 13.6 shots (5.5 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Jubilo Iwata score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Jubilo Iwata average 12.2 shots (5.1 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Vegalta Sendai have won two, drawn one and lost six. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Vegalta Sendai won one and Jubilo Iwata won three. The last time they met, on 28 Jun 2025, it finished Vegalta Sendai 1-0 Jubilo Iwata.
Where it pulls both ways. Vegalta Sendai are the form side, but the meetings favour Jubilo Iwata: in the last nine meetings, Vegalta Sendai won two, Jubilo Iwata won six and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29, 80% on the records (Vegalta Sendai: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Jubilo Iwata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Vegalta Sendai Over 0.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Vegalta Sendai or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Jubilo Iwata or Over 2.5 Goals (the tipsters back Vegalta Sendai, one team per match); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Jubilo Iwata (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).