BABLA

06:00Sun 4 Oct

SAG

Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Soyu Stadium, Akita.

What's at stake. Blaublitz Akita are 12th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Tegevajaro Miyazaki, level on points with Tochigi City. A win would take them above Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Sagan Tosu are 17th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Iwaki, 1 point clear of Imabari. A win would take them above Iwaki.

Form. Blaublitz Akita have won two, drawn four and lost two of their last eight, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L. In this competition Blaublitz Akita have gone D D W D L W. Sagan Tosu have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Sagan Tosu have gone L L L W D L.

The numbers. Blaublitz Akita score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sagan Tosu score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. Sagan Tosu have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 18 Oct 2025, it finished Blaublitz Akita 0-1 Sagan Tosu.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Blaublitz Akita or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Blaublitz Akita or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Blaublitz Akita or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Blaublitz Akita 2-1 Sagan Tosu (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

BLA 4 of 5 (80%) · SAG 6 of 8 (75%)73.4%

Blaublitz Akita: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sagan Tosu: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Blaublitz Akita: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Blaublitz Akita's level

BLAUBLITZ AKITA GOALS

Blaublitz Akita Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

BLA 3 of 5 (60%) · SAG 5 of 8 (62%)66.5%

Blaublitz Akita scored in 3 of 5 at home · Sagan Tosu conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Blaublitz Akita: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Blaublitz Akita's level

SAGAN TOSU GOALS

Sagan Tosu Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%

1.31

BLA 5 of 8 (62%) · SAG 3 of 5 (60%)55.8%

Sagan Tosu scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Blaublitz Akita conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · Sagan Tosu: only games against sides at Blaublitz Akita's level · Blaublitz Akita: only games against sides at Sagan Tosu's level

Left off the list: Blaublitz Akita or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Blaublitz Akita or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Blaublitz Akita or Both Teams Score (no result call); Double Chance: Blaublitz Akita or Draw (no result call); Blaublitz Akita or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.2%

Blaublitz Akita goals →

Sagan Tosu goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 8

BLAUBLITZ AKITADLWLDWDD1.25 PPG

SAGAN TOSUWDLDWLLL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BLAUBLITZ AKITA HOMExSAGAN TOSU AWAY

1.38SCORED A GAME1.001.25CONCEDED A GAME1.3825%CLEAN SHEETS38%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BLAUBLITZ AKITA OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.00+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.38+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.51.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BLAUBLITZ AKITA OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SAGAN TOSU OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BLAUBLITZ AKITAxSAGAN TOSU

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

BLAUBLITZ AKITA 0 · 0%DRAW 0SAGAN TOSU 2 · 100%

2025-05-17Blaublitz Akita 1 – 2 Sagan Tosu

2025-10-18Blaublitz Akita 0 – 1 Sagan Tosu

TRENDS

Blaublitz Akita failed to score in 38% of their games.

Sagan Tosu failed to score in 38% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table