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Cape Verde vs Rwanda

CLASS A
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
76
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class A
Cape Verde crestCVvRwanda crestRWA
Double Chance: Cape Verde or Draw
Cape Verde v Rwanda
International - Africa… · 17:00
1.10odds
91%book
-15edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Cape Verde have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Cape Verde have gone L. Rwanda have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Rwanda have gone W.

The numbers. Cape Verde score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cape Verde average 9.2 shots (2.2 on target), 2.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball. Rwanda score 1.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Rwanda average 1.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Cape Verde have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 17 Nov 2020, it finished Cape Verde 0-0 Rwanda.

The case against. Rwanda's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Cape Verde to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Cape Verde the likelier winners; Cape Verde are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cape Verde. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. Best bet: Cape Verde or Draw at 1.09, 76% on the records (Cape Verde unbeaten in 8 of 10; Rwanda failed to win 5 of 10). Backup: Cape Verde or Both Teams Score at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cape Verde or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cape Verde to Win (the signs point different ways); Cape Verde or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cape Verde 1-0 Rwanda (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: Cape Verde or DrawMAININ CODES
1.10
CPV 8 of 10 (80%) · RWA 5 of 10 (50%)75.6%
Cape Verde unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rwanda failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
Cape Verde or Both Teams ScoreBACKUPHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
CPV 8 of 10 (80%) · RWA 7 of 10 (70%)64.4%
Cape Verde: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rwanda: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
CAPE VERDE GOALS
Cape Verde Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
CPV 8 of 10 (80%) · RWA 7 of 10 (70%)64.4%
Cape Verde scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rwanda conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
CPV 6 of 10 (60%) · RWA 7 of 10 (70%)61.3%
Cape Verde: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rwanda: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Cape Verde or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Cape Verde to Win (the numbers (47%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Cape Verde or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 13%
Cape Verde goals →
Rwanda goals ↓
0-011%
1-013%
2-010%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-24%
1-26%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CAPE VERDEWWWDWLDDDL1.60 PPG
RWANDAWLDLWLLWWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CAPE VERDE HOMExRWANDA AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.301.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS30%2.50CORNERS A GAME1.001.50CARDS A GAME2.75
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
CAPE VERDE 0 · 0%DRAW 2RWANDA 0 · 0%
2020-11-12Cape Verde 0 – 0 Rwanda
2020-11-17Cape Verde 0 – 0 Rwanda
TRENDS
Cape Verde have scored in 80% of their games.
Rwanda have scored in 60% of their games.
Cape Verde kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Rwanda kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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