Cancun FC vs CD Tapatio
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cancun FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. CD Tapatio have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. Cancun FC score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Cancun FC average 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CD Tapatio score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CD Tapatio average 10.3 shots (3.9 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. CD Tapatio's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Cancun FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cancun FC the likelier winners; Cancun FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cancun FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 87% on the records (Cancun FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CD Tapatio: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Cancun FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Tapatio or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Cancun FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Tapatio or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Cancun FC). Predicted score: Cancun FC 2-1 CD Tapatio (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).