MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
02:00Sun 4 Oct
TLA
TF
Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala FC
CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
83
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
Double Chance: Atletico Morelia or…
Atletico Morelia v Tlaxcala FC
1.13odds
88%book
-5edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKTlaxcala FC Over 0.5 goals · 78.3% · @1.54
Book 65% · Us 78% +13
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themTlaxcala FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Morelia have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Tlaxcala FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Atletico Morelia score three and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Atletico Morelia average 6.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Tlaxcala FC score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Tlaxcala FC average 3.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
The read. Atletico Morelia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Morelia the likelier winners; Atletico Morelia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Morelia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Atletico Morelia or Draw at 1.13, 83% on the records (Atletico Morelia unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Tlaxcala FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Tlaxcala FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.54. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atletico Morelia 2-1 Tlaxcala FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Morelia or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · TLA 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Atletico Morelia scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Double Chance: Atletico Morelia or DrawMAININ CODES
1.13
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 5 of 5 (100%)83.3%
Atletico Morelia unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.28
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 5 of 5 (100%)80%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Atletico Morelia scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC trailed in 3 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.17
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 5 of 8 (62%)69.6%
Atletico Morelia won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Tlaxcala FC lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
Atletico Morelia to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Atletico Morelia won 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)61.7%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 45% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia or draw and both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.88
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)61.7%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 45% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia win and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.91
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · TLA 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%
Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 40% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · TLA 5 of 5 (100%)95%
Atletico Morelia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.56
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Atletico Morelia: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
ATLETICO MORELIA GOALS
Atletico Morelia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · TLA 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Atletico Morelia scored in 5 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
Atletico Morelia Over 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.46
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%
Atletico Morelia scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Tlaxcala FC conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level
TLAXCALA FC GOALS
Tlaxcala FC Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.54
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · TLA 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Tlaxcala FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level
Tlaxcala FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · TLA 3 of 5 (60%)58.3%
Tlaxcala FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55% · Tlaxcala FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Tlaxcala FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.7%
Atletico Morelia goals →
Tlaxcala FC goals ↓
0-02%
1-05%
2-07%
3-06%
4-04%
5-02%
0-12%
1-17%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-13%
0-22%
1-24%
2-26%
3-25%
4-23%
5-22%
0-30.7%
1-32%
2-32%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.8%
0-40.2%
1-40.6%
2-40.8%
3-40.7%
4-40.5%
5-40.3%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO MORELIALWWWWLWWLW2.10 PPG
TLAXCALA FCWLWDWLDLLL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MORELIA HOMExTLAXCALA FC AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.801.10CONCEDED A GAME2.2060%BOTH SCORED80%30%CLEAN SHEETS0%6.80CORNERS A GAME3.502.70CARDS A GAME3.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.10POINTS A GAME0.88+0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.75+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES8
Atletico Morelia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
ATLETICO MORELIA 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
70%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 85/90
ATLETICO MORELIA OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
TLAXCALA FC OR DRAW
23%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO MORELIAxTLAXCALA FC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Atletico Morelia have scored in 90% of their games.
Tlaxcala FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Atletico Morelia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Tlaxcala FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards