Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at ONEOK Field.
What's at stake. FC Tulsa are 7th on 38 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Colorado Springs, level on points with San Antonio. A win would take them above Colorado Springs. New Mexico United are 2nd on 43 points after 25 games, 4 points behind El Paso Locomotive, 3 points clear of Sacramento Republic.
Form. FC Tulsa have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition FC Tulsa have gone D D L D W W. New Mexico United have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition New Mexico United have gone L D D D W L.
The numbers. FC Tulsa score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Tulsa average 3.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game. New Mexico United score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. New Mexico United average 3.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Tulsa have won four, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, FC Tulsa won three and New Mexico United won one. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished FC Tulsa 0-1 New Mexico United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Tulsa or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Tulsa or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1-2 New Mexico United (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).