INTERNATIONAL - AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUALIFICATION

CACTA

17:00Mon 28 Sep

BFA

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Mon 28 Sep, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca.

Form. Central African Republic have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Central African Republic have gone L. Burkina Faso have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition Burkina Faso have gone D.

The numbers. Central African Republic score none and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Central African Republic average 4.0 corners and 5.7 cards a game. Burkina Faso score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Burkina Faso average 12.0 shots (3.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 6 Aug 2025, it finished Central African Republic 2-4 Burkina Faso.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 53%.

The read. No firm call: Burkina Faso are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Burkina Faso the likelier winners; Burkina Faso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Burkina Faso. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Burkina Faso to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Central African Republic 0-1 Burkina Faso (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Burkina Faso (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.13

CTA 44% of 5 · BFA 97% of 869%

Burkina Faso won 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · Central African Republic lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 6, refunded 2, lost 2

Burkina Faso or Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CTA 72% of 5 · BFA 58% of 568.2%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

Burkina Faso or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

CTA 72% of 5 · BFA 58% of 566.4%

Burkina Faso: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Central African Republic: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

CTA 71% of 5 · BFA 95% of 582.9%

Central African Republic: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Burkina Faso: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · each game weighed by who it was against

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC GOALS

Central African Republic Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

CTA 100% of 5 · BFA 72% of 584.1%

Central African Republic scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Burkina Faso conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Burkina Faso to Win (the numbers (50%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 15.4%

Central African… goals →

Burkina Faso goals ↓

0-013%

1-08%

2-04%

3-00.9%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-115%

1-113%

2-15%

3-11%

4-10.2%

5-10.0%

0-211%

1-28%

2-23%

3-20.8%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-35%

1-34%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-41%

2-40.5%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.3%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLICDLLLDLLLWL0.50 PPG

BURKINA FASOLWDWWWLWLD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC HOMExBURKINA FASO AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME1.602.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.755.67CARDS A GAME1.83

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC 0 · 0%DRAW 0BURKINA FASO 1 · 100%

2025-08-06Central African Republic 2 – 4 Burkina Faso

TRENDS

Central African Republic have scored in 30% of their games.

Burkina Faso have scored in 70% of their games.

Central African Republic kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Burkina Faso kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards