Danubio FC vs Cerro Largo FC
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 9. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo. The referee is Hernan Heras.
What's at stake. Danubio FC are 15th on 4 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Central Espanol, 1 point clear of Albion FC. A win would take them above Central Espanol. Cerro Largo FC are 13th on 5 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Defensor Sporting, level on points with Central Espanol. A win would take them level on points with Defensor Sporting.
Form. Danubio FC have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition Danubio FC have gone L D D L L D. Cerro Largo FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. In this competition Cerro Largo FC have gone L L D L D D.
The numbers. Danubio FC score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Danubio FC average 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Cerro Largo FC score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Cerro Largo FC average 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Danubio FC have won one, drawn four and lost four. One of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Cerro Largo FC won two. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2026, it finished Danubio FC 0-2 Cerro Largo FC.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Eight of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 88% on the records (Danubio FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Cerro Largo FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Cerro Largo FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Danubio FC 0-0 Cerro Largo FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).