Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso

Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo, a neutral ground. The referee is Andrés Matías Matonte Cabrera.

What's at stake. Liverpool Montevideo are 2nd on 17 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Atletico Torque, 1 point clear of Penarol. A win would take them above Atletico Torque. CA Progreso are 10th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Wanderers, 4 points clear of Boston River. A win would take them above Wanderers.

Form. Liverpool Montevideo have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. In this competition Liverpool Montevideo have gone W D L W D W. CA Progreso have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition CA Progreso have gone W W L W W L.

The numbers. Liverpool Montevideo score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Liverpool Montevideo average 4.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CA Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Progreso average 4.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Liverpool Montevideo have won five, drawn two and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Liverpool Montevideo won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 31 Mar 2026, it finished Liverpool Montevideo 3-3 CA Progreso.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. CA Progreso's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. Liverpool Montevideo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Liverpool Montevideo the likelier winners; Liverpool Montevideo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool Montevideo; the meetings favour Liverpool Montevideo. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Liverpool Montevideo or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 2-1 CA Progreso (8% chance).