EDGE PICKVenados FC Over 0.5 goals · 82.1% · @1.27
Book 79% · Us 82%+3
Backed by
Venados FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Club Atletico La Paz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 04:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Guaycura, La Paz. The referee is E. L. Sanchez M..
What's at stake. Club Atletico La Paz are 2nd on 20 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Monarcas, level on points with Leones Negros UDG. A win would take them above Monarcas. Venados FC are 5th on 16 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Mineros de Zacatecas, 1 point clear of Piratas. A win would take them above Mineros de Zacatecas.
Form. Club Atletico La Paz have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition Club Atletico La Paz have gone W W D W W D. Venados FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Venados FC have gone W L W L L W.
The numbers. Club Atletico La Paz score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Venados FC score 1.4 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Atletico La Paz have won five, drawn two and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Club Atletico La Paz won one, two were drawn and Venados FC won one. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Club Atletico La Paz 1-0 Venados FC.
The read. Club Atletico La Paz to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Atletico La Paz the likelier winners; Club Atletico La Paz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Atletico La Paz. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Club Atletico La Paz or Draw at 1.18, 82% on the records (Club Atletico La Paz unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Venados FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09 (90%). Full cover: Venados FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.27. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Club Atletico La Paz or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Club Atletico La Paz 2-1 Venados FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Club Atletico La Paz or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Double Chance: Club Atletico La Paz or DrawMAININ CODES
1.18
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Club Atletico La Paz unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Venados FC failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Club Atletico La Paz or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.26
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)77.9%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Club Atletico La Paz or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)77.1%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Club Atletico La Paz to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.26
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Club Atletico La Paz (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
CLU 6 of 8 (75%) · VEN 4 of 9 (44%)61.9%
Club Atletico La Paz won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Venados FC lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 4 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
Club Atletico La Paz or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
CLU 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)55%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Club Atletico La Paz: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Venados FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.09
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)89.6%
Club Atletico La Paz: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
CLU 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)66.7%
Club Atletico La Paz: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
CLU 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Club Atletico La Paz: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Venados FC: both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ GOALS
Club Atletico La Paz Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)91.3%
Club Atletico La Paz scored in 4 of 5 at home · Venados FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
VENADOS FC GOALS
Venados FC Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.27
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · VEN 3 of 5 (60%)82.1%
Venados FC scored in 5 of 5 away · Club Atletico La Paz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.09
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)87.5%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.49
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%
Club Atletico La Paz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Club Atletico La Paz or draw and both teams score (the numbers (49%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Club Atletico La Paz goals →
Venados FC goals ↓
0-04%
1-08%
2-09%
3-07%
4-04%
5-02%
0-13%
1-19%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-25%
3-24%
4-22%
5-21.0%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.8%
5-30.4%
0-40.2%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZLLWWDWWDWW2.00 PPG
VENADOS FCWDWLWLLWLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ HOMExVENADOS FC AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME2.401.10CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS20%10%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.62+1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.38+2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES8
Club Atletico La Paz: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 85/90
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
VENADOS FC OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZxVENADOS FC
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME2.203.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE80%7.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CLUB ATLETICO LA PAZ 5 · 50%DRAW 2VENADOS FC 3 · 30%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-03-29Club Atletico La Paz 3 – 2 Venados FC
2023-08-12Club Atletico La Paz 3 – 1 Venados FC
2023-11-12Club Atletico La Paz 0 – 1 Venados FC
2024-04-10Club Atletico La Paz 0 – 1 Venados FC
2024-04-25Club Atletico La Paz 3 – 1 Venados FC
2024-04-27Club Atletico La Paz 3 – 2 Venados FC
2024-08-24Club Atletico La Paz 1 – 1 Venados FC
2025-02-08Club Atletico La Paz 1 – 2 Venados FC
TRENDS
Club Atletico La Paz failed to score in 10% of their games.
Venados FC failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table