Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Centreville Bank Stadium.
What's at stake. Rhode Island FC are 8th on 32 points after 24 games, 1 point behind Indy Eleven, 2 points clear of Miami FC. A win would take them above Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are 7th on 33 points after 25 games, 4 points behind Louisville City, 1 point clear of Rhode Island.
Form. Rhode Island FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition Rhode Island FC have gone L L W D L W. Indy Eleven have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. In this competition Indy Eleven have gone L L W D D L.
The numbers. Rhode Island FC score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Rhode Island FC average 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Indy Eleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Indy Eleven average 4.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Rhode Island FC have won two, drawn one and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Rhode Island FC won two and Indy Eleven won two. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished Rhode Island FC 0-1 Indy Eleven.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Rhode Island FC 1-1 Indy Eleven (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).