Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
What's at stake. Miami FC are 9th on 30 points after 26 games, 2 points behind Rhode Island, 7 points clear of Birmingham Legion. A win would take them above Rhode Island. Sporting Jax are 13th on 14 points after 26 games, 4 points behind Brooklyn. Sporting Jax have nothing left to play for, while Miami FC need the win.
Form. Miami FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition Miami FC have gone W W D D L L. Sporting Jax have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Sporting Jax have gone L L L W L W.
The numbers. Miami FC score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Miami FC average 3.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Sporting Jax score 0.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sporting Jax average 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. Miami FC have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Miami FC 1-0 Sporting Jax.
The case against. Sporting Jax's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Miami FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Miami FC the likelier winners; Miami FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Miami FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Miami FC 1UP at 1.36, 77% on the records (Miami FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 5 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14 (93%). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Miami FC 2-1 Sporting Jax (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Miami FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MIA 9 of 10 (90%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Miami FC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
MIA 7 of 10 (70%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)86.9%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Miami FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.11
MIA 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 5 of 10 (50%)76.7%
Miami FC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
Miami FC 1UPMAININ CODES
1.28
MIA 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 5 of 10 (50%)76.7%
Miami FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax trailed in 5 of 5 away
Miami FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
MIA 5 of 10 (50%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)61.6%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Miami FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
MIA 2 of 7 (29%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)59.7%
Miami FC won 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sporting Jax lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 53% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 3
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MIA 10 of 10 (100%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Miami FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.13
MIA 9 of 10 (90%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)87.9%
Miami FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
MIA 6 of 10 (60%) · SPO 3 of 5 (60%)54%
Miami FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.47
MIA 6 of 10 (60%) · SPO 2 of 5 (40%)45.2%
Miami FC: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
MIAMI FC GOALS
Miami FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.09
MIA 7 of 10 (70%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)86.9%
Miami FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Miami FC Over 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.45
MIA 5 of 10 (50%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)70.4%
Miami FC scored over 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
SPORTING JAX GOALS
Sporting Jax Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
MIA 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 4 of 10 (40%)63.5%
Sporting Jax scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Miami FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level
Sporting Jax Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
MIA 2 of 5 (40%) · SPO 9 of 10 (90%)58.4%
Sporting Jax scored in 2 of 5 away · Miami FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
MIA 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)90%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
MIA 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Miami FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Jax: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Miami FC: only games against sides at Sporting Jax's level · Sporting Jax: only games against sides at Miami FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.3%
Miami FC goals →
Sporting Jax goals ↓
0-04%
1-07%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.7%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MIAMI FCLLDLLLDDWW0.90 PPG
SPORTING JAXDLLLWLWLLL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIAMI FC HOMExSPORTING JAX AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.001.90CONCEDED A GAME2.7010%CLEAN SHEETS0%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%3.27CORNERS A GAME3.683.04CARDS A GAME2.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
MIAMI FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.08POINTS A GAME0.92-0.42GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.33-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.51.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.612LEAGUE GAMES12
Miami FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
70%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 85/90
MIAMI FC OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
SPORTING JAX OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MIAMI FCxSPORTING JAX
6GAMES61.50SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME2.833.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
MIAMI FC 2 · 100%DRAW 0SPORTING JAX 0 · 0%
2026-03-25Miami FC 4 – 2 Sporting Jax
2026-04-25Miami FC 1 – 0 Sporting Jax
TRENDS
Miami FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Sporting Jax have scored in 50% of their games.
Miami FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Sporting Jax kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards